Puede usted ser más específico? Es este código se supone que debo entrar? No estoy seguro exactamente de donde colocarlo. No podía estar más de acuerdo. Über-gut! No es una buena idea para publicar su frase de acceso público. @GregHewgill: Mientras que mi primer intento de calcular las probabilidades era mucho a lo largo de las líneas de la suya, he aprendido por ahora, que el bloque de búsqueda es un proceso de Poisson, y mi primer intento fue mal. Tengo ahora lo que yo creo que para ser la correcta probabilidades y también la fórmula que puede utilizarse para calcular. Excelente reescribir. Creo que se debe señalar si el protocolo fue cambiado a cablear un porcentaje de la tarifa de transacción directamente a los servidores del gobierno podría eliminar la necesidad de tener gravar los sistemas. todas las transacciones de cuotas podría ser alimentados directamente de regreso al país Bienvenido a Bitcoin SE! No estoy seguro de que esto realmente responde a la pregunta. Dar una estimación de un millón de usuarios, pero no ofrecen una base para la estimación. El resto de esta respuesta es la especulación sobre lo que podría significar. Es más útil la respuesta sería a explicar de dónde cómo llegó a su estimación, en lugar de hablar acerca de las consecuencias de un supuesto estimación.

Hay 2^256 posibles valores hash y su fuente da un valor objetivo de 238348*2^176, que requieren más de 60 bits de ceros a la izquierda (61 de hecho, además de los poco más estricto requisito de que un hash válido debe ser menor que el valor del objetivo y no acaba de empezar con el mismo número de ceros a la izquierda). De hecho, la fracción de aceptable hashes de todos los posibles valores hash es 238348*2^-80. Multiplica por 10^12 hash probado por segundo, que se multiplica con 24*60*60 segundos por día, se obtiene una probabilidad de encontrar un hash válido de alrededor de 1 / 58.70 por día, o (recíproca) 58.70 días por válido hash en promedio.

Te preguntas cómo 8496 fue calculado. Tomo nota de que 8496 = 59 * 24 * 6, así, suponiendo que ronda exactamente a 59 días por válido hash y el uso de la nominal objetivo de tener un nuevo bloque grabado en el blockchain cada 10 minutos (de ahí 24*6 por día), luego con una constante, en estado estacionario objetivo sería, de hecho, esperar a tener suerte, en promedio, una vez cada 8496 bloques por encontrar una válida bloque de sí mismo. Obviamente, hay un problema con el de la precisión; según mi cálculo, incluso el redondeo a 8500 bloques podría apenas ser correcta.

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